Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.073011 0.082021 0.091308 0.101569 0.112557 0.123945 0.136611
2025-02-23 0.061607 0.075335 0.090236 0.107478 0.126750 0.147504 0.171420
2025-03-02 0.053002 0.069853 0.088973 0.111955 0.138520 0.167971 0.202802
2025-03-09 0.042992 0.061136 0.082646 0.109450 0.141398 0.177742 0.221699
2025-03-16 0.034771 0.053364 0.076374 0.106034 0.142387 0.184693 0.236859
2025-03-23 0.031306 0.051066 0.076352 0.109789 0.151616 0.201093 0.262934
2025-03-30 0.027904 0.048380 0.075457 0.112141 0.158909 0.215061 0.286105
2025-04-06 0.025624 0.046930 0.075931 0.116049 0.168017 0.231182 0.311899
2025-04-13 0.022252 0.043502 0.073420 0.115796 0.171670 0.240502 0.329414
2025-04-20 0.021610 0.044050 0.076322 0.122699 0.184507 0.261262 0.361039
2025-04-27 0.018430 0.040302 0.072879 0.120798 0.185753 0.267431 0.374657
2025-05-04 0.017089 0.039345 0.073336 0.124160 0.193859 0.282249 0.399057
2025-05-11 0.014639 0.036391 0.070853 0.123591 0.197100 0.291422 0.417198
2025-05-18 0.013964 0.036483 0.073000 0.129693 0.209500 0.312628 0.450889
2025-05-25 0.013061 0.036049 0.074278 0.134540 0.220258 0.331838 0.482266
2025-06-01 0.010724 0.032549 0.070422 0.131641 0.220192 0.336815 0.495433
2025-06-08 0.008555 0.028966 0.066100 0.127761 0.218531 0.339531 0.505587
2025-06-15 0.007968 0.028623 0.067144 0.131992 0.228301 0.357456 0.535490
2025-06-22 0.007200 0.027747 0.067191 0.134642 0.235815 0.372405 0.561615
2025-06-29 0.006749 0.027536 0.068366 0.139044 0.245873 0.390837 0.592399
2025-07-06 0.005740 0.025775 0.066635 0.138758 0.249096 0.400024 0.611102
2025-07-13 0.005788 0.026731 0.069902 0.146522 0.264132 0.425363 0.651211
2025-07-20 0.004724 0.024510 0.067112 0.144386 0.264575 0.430770 0.665020